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Corporations in every single place are forcing AI down the throats of shoppers and employees. The tech sector has reached peak absurdity: a billionaire who has by no means labored a 9-to-5 went from predicting civilization collapse to claiming ChatGPT is crucial for elevating kids; a chipmaker proclaims that digital AI brokers will change lecturers, nurses, and medical doctors; and Google’s CEO declares AI an much more profound discovery than hearth or electrical energy.
The best improvements of the final century—from the microprocessor to the PC—all flourished via natural market demand, with out fear-mongering or institutional gaslighting. Individuals didn’t undertake Wi-Fi, smartphones, or GPS beneath risk of extinction; they adopted them as a result of they labored. Inventors by no means posed as doomsday prophets. Provide trailed demand, merchandise advanced via iteration, and mass-market influence was earned—not declared. Right this moment, that logic is inverted: billions are poured into scaling a expertise that has stagnated and continues to be looking for its type issue.
The AI bubble of 2025 isn’t a carbon copy of the dot-com bubble, but the parallels are unmistakable. In software program: you could have unprofitable first-movers with timing however no moat, and a swarm of VC-backed startups attempting to colonize each vertical with the identical platform. In {hardware} there’s a shovel-seller extracting billions on a world dream, pushing infrastructure for demand that hasn’t materialized. And behind them is a presidency that has latched onto this chance to challenge American exceptionalism, blunt Asia’s manufacturing dominance, and masks financial cracks at residence. It’s totally different tech, however the identical home of playing cards—disguised as a free-market increase.
Right this moment’s LLM wars are a beat-for-beat remake of the Nineteen Nineties browser wars. OpenAI is the brand new Netscape and AOL: first-movers burning money with no lasting means to seize the worth they create. NVIDIA is Solar Microsystems and Cisco mixed. Right this moment’s hyperscalers echo Exodus Communications, spending billions on capability for a revolution with no viable economics.
On this Trendy MBA episode, we deconstruct this home of playing cards that’s the AI bubble, peel again layers to reveal the businesses and fragile dependencies inside this tech stack, and reveal why at the moment’s $500 billion frenzy is a near-identical echo of the bubble thirty years in the past.
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